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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 12.4% 12.5% 11.9% 11.7% 10.5% 10.7% 10.9% 8.9% 5.8% 4.7%
Tiare Sierra 15.2% 13.8% 13.2% 12.6% 12.3% 10.7% 8.2% 6.4% 5.4% 2.2%
Laura Smith 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.8% 6.6% 10.4% 12.7% 17.5% 23.4%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 10.3% 10.5% 12.6% 10.6% 12.3% 10.7% 11.3% 9.2% 8.0% 4.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.5% 15.5% 14.2% 13.0% 12.3% 9.8% 7.5% 5.3% 4.1% 1.8%
Sidney Moyer 14.0% 12.5% 12.1% 12.4% 10.8% 9.9% 10.7% 8.1% 6.3% 3.2%
Marina Dreyfuss 4.2% 5.7% 6.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.7% 10.3% 13.6% 15.4% 19.3%
Lizzie Cochran 9.2% 10.8% 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 12.2% 10.7% 11.5% 8.1% 6.8%
Lilly Saffer 5.8% 4.7% 5.3% 7.1% 7.5% 9.4% 9.0% 13.0% 15.8% 22.4%
Audrey Commerford 7.2% 8.8% 8.6% 8.2% 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 11.3% 13.6% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.