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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+3.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+2.38vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.37+3.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.13+1.07vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52-0.88vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-0.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.99-2.65vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston University1.440.2%1st Place
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6.98Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.67Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.75University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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5.35Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Laura Smith | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 23.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 16.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 19.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 22.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.