Race 11B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tiare Sierra 16.8% 14.0% 13.6% 12.0% 10.1% 11.1% 9.2% 6.3% 3.9% 3.0%
Sidney Moyer 12.4% 12.8% 12.8% 10.8% 12.8% 8.8% 10.4% 8.1% 8.1% 3.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 12.4% 9.7% 11.7% 11.3% 11.5% 11.9% 11.8% 8.0% 7.4% 4.3%
Lilly Saffer 4.0% 4.7% 7.1% 6.7% 8.1% 8.7% 10.0% 12.7% 14.2% 23.8%
Laura Smith 6.0% 6.0% 5.9% 7.2% 5.9% 8.3% 9.0% 13.7% 16.6% 21.4%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 12.7% 10.1% 11.4% 11.1% 11.5% 10.1% 10.8% 10.4% 7.1% 4.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 13.9% 17.6% 13.4% 13.4% 12.6% 9.8% 7.8% 6.8% 3.0% 1.7%
Lizzie Cochran 9.3% 10.7% 9.8% 10.4% 11.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 7.0%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.1% 10.6% 9.3% 12.5% 15.9% 19.5%
Audrey Commerford 6.5% 8.4% 8.2% 10.1% 8.6% 9.7% 11.5% 11.2% 14.3% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.