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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.99+3.15vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.04vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-2.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-3.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.91-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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3.26University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.34Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.25Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 74.6% | 19.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.3% | 26.1% | 26.3% | 18.8% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.5% | 24.0% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 38.0% | 23.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 12.0% | 2.9% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 5.7% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 2.3% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 1.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 17.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.