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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.34vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.66vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13-0.78vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.14-1.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.91-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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3.25University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.35Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 72.3% | 21.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.9% | 26.7% | 27.0% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 2.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 1.6% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.6% | 24.6% | 26.0% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 3.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 10.5% | 2.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 19.5% | 6.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 36.9% | 24.6% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 19.0% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.