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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+0.63vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75+0.24vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.13-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.91+1.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.14-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.24Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.27Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 75.1% | 19.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.8% | 23.0% | 26.5% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 3.4% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 28.6% | 26.5% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 2.2% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 64.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 38.0% | 24.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.