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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+0.63vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.23vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-2.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.91-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.36Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 74.3% | 19.8% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.5% | 24.3% | 26.0% | 20.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.0% | 27.5% | 24.8% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 3.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 26.1% | 18.1% | 5.7% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 38.1% | 23.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 17.9% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.