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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.79vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01-0.42vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.91-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Stanford University2.990.7%1st Place
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3.09University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.58Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.08Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 67.6% | 22.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.6% | 27.8% | 26.5% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Smith | 2.6% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.4% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 19.0% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 6.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 4.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 1.7% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 35.4% | 22.5% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.