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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+0.13vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.09-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.14-0.16vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.91-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University2.990.7%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.55Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 66.5% | 23.7% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.8% | 24.5% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.7% | 26.8% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 3.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Emily Smith | 4.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 5.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 3.7% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 33.9% | 23.4% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 17.8% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.