Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Banholzer 37.2% 24.5% 18.1% 9.6% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abby Featherstone 16.5% 16.7% 16.8% 15.4% 12.9% 10.0% 5.0% 3.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Harrison Cabiness 5.0% 7.0% 9.0% 10.8% 10.9% 11.0% 14.4% 12.7% 8.3% 5.7% 4.0% 0.8% 0.4%
Cassandra Yankala 12.2% 13.5% 15.9% 13.9% 12.5% 10.7% 10.5% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Morgan O'Neil 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 9.1% 7.5% 10.1% 11.4% 13.1% 11.9% 12.2% 4.6% 3.5% 0.4%
Solvig Sayre 9.3% 10.7% 12.2% 12.7% 12.9% 13.3% 10.5% 7.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Samuel Hodges 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 3.0% 5.9% 5.1% 6.8% 9.3% 12.3% 13.9% 15.4% 13.4% 7.2%
Danny Levy 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 6.1% 8.6% 10.5% 12.1% 14.0% 14.5% 8.7% 7.0% 3.3% 0.8%
Gregory Bachman 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 4.7% 7.6% 13.3% 16.8% 20.1% 20.8%
Michael Todd 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 3.0% 7.0% 8.6% 13.4% 16.2% 17.4% 20.1%
Ben Jassin 5.4% 8.8% 8.3% 9.7% 12.0% 11.4% 13.0% 10.5% 10.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Ervin Grove 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.3% 5.4% 5.2% 6.4% 8.7% 13.4% 16.4% 18.0% 16.9%
Oliver Evans 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 4.7% 6.7% 9.1% 14.1% 21.4% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.