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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+3.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+4.51vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.10vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.37+5.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+0.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.42+2.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-5.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54-1.33vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.37-5.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.89vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Brown University1.9912.7%1st Place
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5.24Boston College2.4011.8%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University1.316.2%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.109.2%1st Place
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10.25Boston University0.372.8%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College1.849.2%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University1.184.9%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island0.423.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.3%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.1715.7%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University0.543.2%1st Place
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6.67Yale University1.377.6%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.9%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Katie Coughlin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Ximena Escobar | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emma Wang | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 21.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.