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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.20vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11-2.65vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.03vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-3.02-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.64-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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1.35Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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3.56University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.61Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.4% | 26.7% | 26.7% | 22.2% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 8.0% | 24.7% | 29.3% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 72.5% | 20.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.6% | 17.5% | 22.9% | 27.5% | 18.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 29.0% | 21.7% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Erin Welker | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 24.4% | 28.4% | 21.8% | 7.3% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 32.9% | 34.9% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 24.2% | 51.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 26.5% | 28.5% | 18.0% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.