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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.33vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.06vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-3.02-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.33Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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3.25University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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3.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.64Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 74.3% | 19.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.3% | 25.0% | 29.3% | 21.7% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.7% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 26.4% | 20.6% | 7.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.2% | 27.8% | 28.7% | 21.0% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 28.7% | 22.6% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Erin Welker | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 21.1% | 31.4% | 20.3% | 8.6% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 27.3% | 28.4% | 17.7% | 6.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 33.7% | 33.9% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 24.4% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.