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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.06vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+0.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-3.02-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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6.65Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 59.2% | 25.3% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.6% | 23.1% | 28.3% | 23.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 31.2% | 25.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.6% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 27.6% | 18.1% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 16.4% | 26.2% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 30.3% | 21.3% | 8.6% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 26.2% | 27.7% | 18.7% | 6.5% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 23.7% | 51.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 32.7% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.