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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.64-0.56vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-3.02-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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1.63Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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6.44University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.67Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 9.1% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 26.7% | 18.8% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.3% | 23.2% | 26.3% | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 58.0% | 26.3% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 32.4% | 22.6% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 16.5% | 25.4% | 24.4% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 25.7% | 27.4% | 18.8% | 6.3% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 22.3% | 31.1% | 20.8% | 8.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 33.3% | 34.0% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 24.1% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.