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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.07vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-3.02-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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2.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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6.63Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 60.3% | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.7% | 23.6% | 27.8% | 22.3% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.9% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 28.1% | 18.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 34.8% | 21.5% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 16.3% | 26.7% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 22.2% | 29.7% | 21.3% | 8.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 27.1% | 29.1% | 18.0% | 6.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 33.5% | 33.9% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 24.3% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.