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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.06vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-3.02-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.64Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.46University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 59.9% | 25.6% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.3% | 24.1% | 26.7% | 21.7% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.8% | 24.7% | 24.4% | 22.2% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 10.2% | 15.1% | 22.0% | 26.4% | 18.8% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 28.6% | 23.2% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Erin Welker | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 21.0% | 31.3% | 20.3% | 8.6% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 27.7% | 28.4% | 17.6% | 6.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 33.7% | 33.9% |
| Sara Camarero | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 24.4% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.