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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+2.04vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.37+1.15vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.45-0.10vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.68+1.41vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.93vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.20-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.80-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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3.15Connecticut College1.370.2%1st Place
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2.9Connecticut College1.450.3%1st Place
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3.92Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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6.41University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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5.79Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.74University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.98University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 22.8% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 19.1% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 26.1% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 15.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 5.9% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 28.1% | 18.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 19.3% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.