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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.45+1.90vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+3.23vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.80+3.74vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.11vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.37-1.98vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.68-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38-4.98vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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6.74University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.89Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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3.02Connecticut College1.370.2%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.52University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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8.0University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Craine | 24.1% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 26.6% | 18.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 12.4% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Matias Martin | 24.6% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 4.6% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 23.0% | 23.7% | 14.3% |
| Sam Ingalls | 23.4% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 19.1% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.