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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+2.03vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+1.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.37+0.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.98vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.78-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.80+0.68vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.20-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.68-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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3.04Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
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3.04Connecticut College1.370.2%1st Place
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4.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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3.92Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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6.68University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.77Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.54University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.99University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 23.1% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 20.7% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 24.2% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 2.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.1% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 27.3% | 16.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 5.8% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 16.3% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 19.1% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.