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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.37+2.05vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.38+0.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.68+1.44vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.78-2.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.20-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.80-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Connecticut College1.370.2%1st Place
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3.04Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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4.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.44University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.96Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.72University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.98University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Martin | 23.5% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 21.4% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 23.7% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 15.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.2% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 6.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 27.4% | 18.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 19.5% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.