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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+1.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+6.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+7.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.45+4.95vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85+2.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-1.25vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.19-3.58vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07+1.86vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-2.88vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-2.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.55vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.93vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.36-5.43vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52-2.96vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.01-5.39vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.49-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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3.92Yale University2.4219.7%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University1.864.2%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.182.4%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College1.453.9%1st Place
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9.1Tulane University1.734.0%1st Place
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9.34Brown University1.855.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.179.9%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University2.1913.7%1st Place
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11.86George Washington University1.072.3%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College1.846.4%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston1.264.2%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.7%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania1.161.8%1st Place
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9.57Boston College1.364.5%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida0.522.1%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University1.012.5%1st Place
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13.4Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.7% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 20.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.