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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+4.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+1.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.37+5.40vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+5.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17-2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.43vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-0.68vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-4.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.37-4.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-3.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-2.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.54-4.33vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Brown University1.9912.3%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College2.109.2%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.315.7%1st Place
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5.22Boston College2.4012.8%1st Place
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10.4Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University2.1715.8%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.9%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.2%1st Place
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5.96Bowdoin College1.8410.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University1.378.6%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University1.185.7%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University0.543.5%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 22.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ximena Escobar | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.