← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.45+1.90vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College1.37+1.17vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+2.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.38-1.04vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.68+1.42vs Predicted
-
6Bates College0.78-2.05vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University-0.20-1.21vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-0.80-1.28vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.9Connecticut College1.450.3%1st Place
-
3.17Connecticut College1.370.2%1st Place
-
5.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
-
2.96University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
-
6.42University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
-
3.95Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
-
5.79Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.72University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.98University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Craine | 25.1% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 20.5% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.4% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 22.5% | 15.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 6.1% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 27.5% | 18.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.