← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.45+1.91vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+3.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.38+0.05vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.68+2.41vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.78-1.06vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.37-3.00vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-1.80+1.06vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University-0.20-2.26vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.91Connecticut College1.450.2%1st Place
-
5.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
-
3.05University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
-
6.41University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
-
3.94Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.0Connecticut College1.370.2%1st Place
-
8.06University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
-
5.74Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Craine | 24.1% | 21.0% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.6% |
| Sam Ingalls | 22.1% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 21.7% | 25.0% | 11.9% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.9% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Matias Martin | 22.3% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 18.0% | 60.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 27.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.