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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+3.82vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.91vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.48+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.64-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.20+3.66vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.34+1.22vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-1.20vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.54-4.24vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76+3.20vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+2.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.60-4.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.06-6.91vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.97-0.46vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-2.90vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.41-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.82University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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6.91Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.08North Carolina State University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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9.66University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.22The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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6.8Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.76North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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13.2Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Central Florida-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.39University of South Carolina-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 15.4% |
| Erin Winters | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 14.7% |
| John Cabell | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 22.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.