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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.13+4.81vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+2.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.21vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.95vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54-1.12vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.34+1.20vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-1.23vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.76+4.13vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+2.02vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.60-3.67vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.64-7.47vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+0.09vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.20-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-1.97-1.36vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.41-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.94North Carolina State University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.95Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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8.2The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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6.77Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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13.13Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
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13.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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9.5University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Central Florida-1.970.0%1st Place
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14.38University of South Carolina-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 14.8% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| John Cabell | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 15.5% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Winters | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 14.6% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 24.0% | 23.1% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.