← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+7.67vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.10+4.29vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.99+2.45vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.18+4.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.24+6.35vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.40-0.50vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.31+0.57vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.37-2.17vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.15-2.17vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.17-6.02vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.84-5.99vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College-0.13-1.02vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.42-3.86vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.37-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.4%1st Place
-
6.29Dartmouth College2.108.6%1st Place
-
5.45Brown University1.9911.5%1st Place
-
8.51Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
-
11.35University of Vermont0.241.4%1st Place
-
5.5Boston College2.4012.6%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University1.316.6%1st Place
-
8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.9%1st Place
-
6.83Yale University1.377.6%1st Place
-
7.83Tufts University1.156.0%1st Place
-
4.98Harvard University2.1714.6%1st Place
-
6.01Bowdoin College1.8410.3%1st Place
-
11.98Connecticut College-0.131.6%1st Place
-
10.14University of Rhode Island0.423.6%1st Place
-
10.36Boston University0.372.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 24.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Ximena Escobar | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 33.4% |
| Katie Coughlin | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 12.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.