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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.91+3.39vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+0.63vs Predicted
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5Rollins College3.04-1.00vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12+2.19vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.28-2.49vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.64+0.16vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.59-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.29-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee0.80-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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3.56University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.39University of Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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4.63Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.0Rollins College3.040.1%1st Place
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8.19Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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9.16Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.24Duke University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.290.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 37.5% | 29.4% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 16.3% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danny Levy | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 8.3% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Yankala | 13.6% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 7.6% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Michael Todd | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| Gregory Bachman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 20.5% |
| Oliver Evans | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 36.0% |
| Ervin Grove | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.