Race 9A

2024-azalea-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Marianna Shand 8.2% 9.5% 9.2% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 10.4% 10.1% 7.7% 6.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Schweda 15.2% 15.2% 11.5% 13.2% 11.1% 10.0% 7.2% 5.6% 5.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Byrd 10.6% 6.8% 10.2% 8.6% 10.6% 10.8% 10.1% 10.8% 8.5% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Cabell 4.1% 6.4% 6.4% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.7% 8.5% 12.2% 11.0% 10.3% 8.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Chase 12.1% 13.1% 12.4% 11.5% 10.5% 10.2% 8.9% 8.5% 5.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Usher 12.5% 13.7% 13.3% 11.7% 10.6% 9.8% 9.1% 6.7% 5.2% 3.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Braden Vogel 16.1% 12.2% 13.8% 11.7% 10.1% 9.2% 8.4% 7.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 6.7% 6.7% 6.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 11.5% 9.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathleen Hale 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 7.0% 9.1% 11.3% 15.5% 14.9% 11.2% 5.5% 1.7% 0.9%
Josh Rosen 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 4.3% 10.1% 15.1% 21.1% 20.8% 16.5%
Torin Stremlau 1.3% 1.5% 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 3.5% 3.1% 5.4% 7.0% 16.7% 18.4% 18.0% 13.3% 5.1%
Erin Winters 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 6.5% 10.1% 15.7% 18.9% 20.4% 15.5%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 2.8% 5.3% 11.8% 13.6% 21.5% 39.9%
Nikolas Pantelis 0.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 5.0% 9.2% 13.5% 19.1% 21.6% 22.1%
Andrew Tollefson 4.3% 3.3% 3.8% 5.8% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.5% 8.3% 14.2% 15.7% 8.6% 5.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 5.2% 6.6% 7.7% 6.9% 8.4% 8.5% 9.9% 9.1% 11.7% 11.0% 7.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.