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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.00+4.49vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.76+5.81vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27-0.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.72+3.69vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+3.76vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+3.56vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-1.02+0.56vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.39+0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-0.22-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.13-5.81vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.68-0.24vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-2.64-1.18vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.20-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.49University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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8.81North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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3.42University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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8.69Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.76Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.43Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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11.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.56Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.72Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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12.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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13.76University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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6.03The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 23.6% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 21.6% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| William Mullray | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 6.9% |
| Walter Roou | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Connelly | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 14.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 35.8% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 34.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.