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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.27vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.72+6.66vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.27+0.36vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.85+0.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.13+1.21vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.76+2.98vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+2.75vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.22-0.92vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-3.01vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00-3.41vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+0.57vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.39-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.64+0.69vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.71vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.68-1.14vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-1.02-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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8.66Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.36University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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4.37Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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8.98North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.75Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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5.99The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.59University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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11.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.64Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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12.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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13.86University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.7Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 23.0% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 23.1% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| William Mullray | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 34.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 13.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 37.0% |
| Walter Roou | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.