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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.76+6.75vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.13+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+5.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.72+1.79vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.22-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27-6.55vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.85-6.70vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-1.02-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.64+0.72vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.39-3.41vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-2.63vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.68-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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8.75North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.98The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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6.53University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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11.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.64Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.45University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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9.62Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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10.59Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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12.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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13.9University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 24.7% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Connelly | 5.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 9.2% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| William Mullray | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 19.2% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 34.1% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 12.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.