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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+1.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.85+1.35vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.13+0.26vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-1.02+2.61vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.76+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+2.59vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+1.26vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.22-4.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.72-4.38vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.39-3.43vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.68-1.14vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-2.64-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.43University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.14The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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9.61Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.73North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.8Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.57Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.86University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 25.2% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 23.0% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Tucker Parks | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| William Mullray | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 12.8% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 37.1% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 23.4% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.