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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.13+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.22+3.47vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.60+1.68vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.39+3.07vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.76+0.36vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.72-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.42-0.67vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.68+1.63vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-2.64+0.62vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-4.80vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.54-7.47vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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6.06The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.49University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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8.68University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.07Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.36North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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14.63University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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10.2Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.53Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 23.9% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 20.9% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| Tucker Parks | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Ava Moring | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 22.2% | 36.7% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 35.2% |
| William Mullray | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.