← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.31+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.85+2.35vs Predicted
-
3University of Florida-1.42+8.25vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.20+2.15vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.27-1.66vs Predicted
-
6University of Central Florida-2.64+8.68vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.60+1.63vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.76+1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-0.22-1.47vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University-0.54-1.61vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.77vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.13-5.65vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.39-1.74vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-2.32vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-0.72-5.96vs Predicted
-
16University of South Carolina-2.68-1.32vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
-
4.35Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
-
11.25University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.15The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.34University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
-
14.68University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.01North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
-
8.39Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
10.23Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
-
11.26Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
-
11.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.04Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
14.68University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
-
13.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 22.5% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 22.8% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 35.5% |
| May Proctor | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Mullray | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 35.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.