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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+5.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+4.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17-0.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.87vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40-1.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+0.37vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84-2.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.42-0.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.57vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.37-6.09vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.73vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Brown University1.9911.9%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University1.155.2%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University1.315.9%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.109.7%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University2.1714.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.4012.8%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University1.185.3%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College1.849.8%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.4%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
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10.43Boston University0.373.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University1.378.2%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Ximena Escobar | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 21.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.