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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.13+3.38vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.85+0.44vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20+1.07vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.54+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.42+4.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.72+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.60-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.22-2.66vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.67vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.39-0.80vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-2.79vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.76-4.72vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.68-0.41vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-2.94vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-2.64-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.36University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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4.44Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.07The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.55Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.77University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.2Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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10.21Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.28North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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14.59University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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13.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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14.65University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 24.9% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 23.4% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Ava Moring | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| William Mullray | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Tucker Parks | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 36.4% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 12.7% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 21.9% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.