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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+2.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+2.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.54+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+6.38vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20+0.28vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.13-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.42+2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.22-2.66vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.76-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.64+2.54vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.39-1.74vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.60-5.27vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.72-5.99vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.68-1.28vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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8.42Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.48University of South Florida1.270.2%1st Place
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11.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.28The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.13Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.29North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.26Embry-Riddle University-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.73University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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14.72University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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13.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 24.0% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 21.7% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Connelly | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 21.8% | 34.6% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| May Proctor | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 22.1% | 35.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.