Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Brown 12.7% 11.8% 12.9% 13.5% 13.2% 11.9% 11.4% 7.4% 3.6% 1.6%
Toby Sullivan 24.9% 19.7% 16.8% 14.2% 11.3% 7.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Laura Smith 8.1% 9.8% 10.5% 10.1% 12.9% 15.1% 14.6% 11.3% 5.5% 2.1%
Asher Green 17.8% 17.7% 16.8% 15.6% 12.7% 9.2% 5.9% 3.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Maren Behnke 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 6.4% 5.2% 7.4% 12.3% 15.2% 20.5% 20.5%
Mason Chapman 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.6% 11.2% 13.3% 21.5% 27.5%
Cameron Turner 16.8% 18.2% 16.1% 15.8% 13.8% 10.2% 4.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 6.7% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 12.4% 15.3% 12.8% 11.1% 7.6% 4.2%
Eric Johnson 3.6% 2.8% 5.6% 4.9% 7.7% 9.4% 13.6% 15.9% 20.0% 16.5%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.5% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 7.7% 10.5% 16.7% 19.2% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.