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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Smith 9.1% 11.4% 10.9% 11.1% 12.7% 14.7% 11.2% 10.5% 5.6% 2.8%
Toby Sullivan 23.9% 19.0% 17.4% 15.9% 11.4% 6.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 10.5% 11.4% 13.2% 16.0% 12.5% 8.5% 3.6%
Eric Johnson 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 6.2% 7.4% 10.5% 13.8% 16.4% 17.6% 17.7%
Maren Behnke 3.4% 4.3% 5.5% 4.8% 6.1% 8.4% 10.0% 17.3% 20.9% 19.3%
Asher Green 20.4% 14.5% 17.9% 13.3% 13.6% 10.5% 5.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5%
Cameron Turner 16.2% 20.3% 15.9% 15.0% 13.0% 8.7% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Tyler Brown 11.4% 13.0% 12.9% 14.3% 12.9% 12.9% 10.4% 6.6% 4.4% 1.2%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.1% 2.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 7.7% 11.8% 14.3% 20.1% 26.8%
Mason Chapman 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 4.4% 5.8% 6.6% 10.4% 15.7% 20.4% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.