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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.37+4.01vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.35+1.17vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.21+2.52vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+3.10vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.67+2.18vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-2.38vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-3.36vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.61-3.48vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-0.90-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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3.17Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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5.52Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.1William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.18Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.62Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.64Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.2%1st Place
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4.52Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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7.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smith | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Toby Sullivan | 23.9% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 19.3% |
| Asher Green | 20.4% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Turner | 16.2% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 26.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.