Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Valerio Palamara 32.9% 21.3% 16.0% 13.9% 7.1% 5.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Asher Green 14.0% 16.8% 14.6% 15.9% 13.9% 11.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Cameron Turner 14.0% 13.1% 17.0% 16.5% 15.5% 11.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 5.2% 7.0% 9.0% 10.6% 13.2% 14.8% 15.2% 12.6% 8.8% 3.6%
Laura Smith 7.3% 8.8% 9.9% 11.0% 12.9% 17.2% 13.3% 10.8% 6.5% 2.3%
Maren Behnke 2.9% 4.0% 3.4% 4.7% 6.1% 8.6% 13.3% 16.0% 20.6% 20.4%
Toby Sullivan 17.3% 20.0% 19.5% 16.1% 12.2% 7.6% 4.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 1.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 8.6% 12.4% 15.3% 20.6% 25.6%
Mason Chapman 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 5.3% 7.0% 12.7% 14.5% 21.4% 28.7%
Eric Johnson 2.4% 3.6% 4.4% 4.4% 8.4% 8.0% 11.7% 20.1% 18.1% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.