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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Valerio Palamara 31.8% 22.0% 18.2% 11.9% 9.0% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Toby Sullivan 18.3% 20.9% 16.4% 15.8% 13.1% 6.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 14.3% 13.4% 16.4% 15.9% 13.9% 14.1% 6.7% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 5.1% 7.0% 9.2% 10.0% 13.9% 14.4% 16.0% 12.7% 8.5% 3.2%
Asher Green 15.3% 15.9% 16.6% 15.7% 14.0% 11.7% 5.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Mason Chapman 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 4.8% 7.2% 10.1% 16.1% 22.8% 26.9%
Maren Behnke 1.7% 2.9% 2.3% 6.3% 6.0% 8.8% 13.9% 18.0% 18.9% 21.2%
Laura Smith 6.4% 8.9% 11.3% 11.5% 14.0% 13.6% 14.5% 10.3% 7.0% 2.5%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 4.6% 4.8% 8.9% 11.3% 16.8% 19.9% 26.8%
Eric Johnson 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 4.8% 6.5% 11.0% 13.6% 15.8% 19.4% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.