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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.70vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.35+1.44vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.98vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.21+1.65vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.90+1.73vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.67+0.46vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37-2.72vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-1.29vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.58-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.44Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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3.98Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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5.65Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.83Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.73University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.46Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.28Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.23William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 31.8% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Toby Sullivan | 18.3% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 14.3% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Asher Green | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 26.9% |
| Maren Behnke | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| Laura Smith | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 26.8% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.