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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+3.05vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.87vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.35+0.61vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.10vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08-0.96vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.67+1.44vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.90-0.18vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-1.18vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.58-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.87Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.61Drexel University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.1Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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4.04Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.44Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.86Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.38William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 28.4% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 16.9% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Turner | 12.5% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Asher Green | 14.3% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maren Behnke | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 21.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 27.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 22.4% | 27.4% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.