Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 21.2% 19.2% 14.7% 13.4% 10.8% 8.9% 6.2% 3.5% 1.4% 0.7%
Aston Atherton 20.8% 18.6% 16.8% 14.1% 10.7% 8.7% 5.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Bryan Lawrence 7.0% 5.7% 7.8% 6.8% 9.2% 11.6% 13.8% 15.5% 13.8% 8.8%
Kennedy Jones 12.8% 15.6% 14.2% 14.6% 14.6% 10.7% 7.5% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0%
Connor Lothrop 10.5% 9.2% 10.7% 10.4% 12.6% 13.7% 12.9% 8.7% 8.4% 2.9%
Iain Shand 13.0% 12.5% 12.7% 14.0% 12.5% 10.9% 10.2% 7.3% 5.5% 1.4%
Charlotte Stillman 4.9% 6.1% 7.2% 10.3% 8.6% 13.4% 13.3% 13.7% 14.4% 8.1%
Kayla Maguire 4.4% 5.5% 5.9% 6.8% 8.6% 8.1% 12.4% 15.8% 16.4% 16.1%
Collin Ross 2.0% 2.1% 3.4% 3.9% 3.8% 5.4% 6.7% 11.6% 16.1% 45.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.4% 5.5% 6.6% 5.7% 8.6% 8.6% 11.5% 14.0% 20.2% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.