Race 2B

grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 21.8% 18.7% 15.5% 12.0% 11.4% 9.1% 6.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Aston Atherton 21.9% 18.0% 16.1% 14.4% 11.8% 8.0% 4.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Connor Lothrop 9.0% 9.1% 10.8% 9.6% 12.1% 13.6% 15.1% 9.0% 8.8% 2.9%
Charlotte Stillman 4.2% 6.7% 8.2% 9.7% 8.9% 11.4% 13.5% 14.8% 13.9% 8.7%
Kennedy Jones 14.7% 14.7% 15.3% 15.2% 12.8% 10.7% 7.0% 5.4% 2.6% 1.6%
Bryan Lawrence 7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 9.1% 9.6% 11.7% 12.4% 14.1% 14.1% 8.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 7.2% 9.5% 13.4% 16.2% 17.1% 16.6%
Iain Shand 11.6% 14.7% 12.6% 13.0% 14.2% 11.3% 8.5% 7.2% 5.3% 1.6%
Kayla Maguire 4.4% 4.5% 6.3% 6.9% 7.5% 9.5% 11.8% 14.9% 19.7% 14.5%
Collin Ross 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 5.2% 7.6% 11.3% 15.5% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.