← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 22.3% 17.8% 16.7% 12.5% 10.3% 8.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Kennedy Jones 14.0% 14.6% 15.7% 13.4% 12.3% 10.5% 9.1% 5.9% 3.8% 0.7%
Aston Atherton 20.5% 18.9% 15.8% 14.9% 10.9% 8.5% 6.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Charlotte Stillman 4.6% 7.1% 7.0% 9.3% 9.3% 12.4% 13.6% 13.5% 13.6% 9.6%
Iain Shand 12.2% 12.6% 12.8% 13.5% 13.7% 11.5% 10.1% 7.0% 4.7% 1.9%
Connor Lothrop 11.0% 10.0% 9.4% 12.9% 13.2% 10.6% 11.0% 10.9% 7.6% 3.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.5% 4.1% 6.1% 5.7% 8.7% 9.3% 12.5% 15.3% 18.6% 16.2%
Collin Ross 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.2% 7.4% 10.6% 15.7% 44.8%
Kayla Maguire 4.5% 4.9% 4.9% 6.4% 8.8% 10.9% 10.5% 14.9% 19.7% 14.5%
Bryan Lawrence 5.3% 8.0% 8.5% 7.7% 8.4% 11.4% 13.5% 14.8% 14.1% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.