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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.51vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.51+2.21vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+0.50vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40+2.20vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.32-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.06-0.93vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.09vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.42+0.15vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-2.21vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.35-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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4.21Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.2William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.55Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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6.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.15Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.79Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.11Princeton University-0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 22.3% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Aston Atherton | 20.5% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.6% |
| Iain Shand | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Connor Lothrop | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 16.2% |
| Collin Ross | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 44.8% |
| Kayla Maguire | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 14.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.