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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+3.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.65vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+4.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17-0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+1.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31+0.43vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-2.85vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.37-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24+1.45vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.86vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.87vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.42-3.93vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Dartmouth College2.109.8%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.9912.8%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College1.135.5%1st Place
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4.89Harvard University2.1716.2%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University1.315.7%1st Place
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5.15Boston College2.4012.7%1st Place
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6.81Yale University1.377.4%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University1.186.1%1st Place
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10.13Boston University0.373.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.5%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island0.423.2%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
| Emma Wang | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Katie Coughlin | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.