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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.54vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+2.63vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.51+1.24vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.06+0.15vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+0.05vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.40-0.85vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-1.25vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.16vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.42-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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4.63Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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4.24Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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3.46Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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6.05Princeton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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6.15William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.75Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.19Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 21.3% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Iain Shand | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 21.0% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Lothrop | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| Collin Ross | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.