Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 21.7% 19.7% 14.5% 14.2% 9.8% 9.6% 5.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Kennedy Jones 14.3% 15.5% 15.3% 13.2% 13.4% 10.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Charlotte Stillman 6.0% 5.7% 7.9% 7.3% 9.5% 11.8% 15.2% 16.6% 12.5% 7.5%
Aston Atherton 21.1% 19.6% 16.1% 15.4% 12.9% 6.4% 4.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Iain Shand 13.6% 11.0% 12.6% 16.2% 12.8% 13.0% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.2%
Rose von Eckartsberg 5.7% 4.3% 5.9% 6.0% 8.8% 9.9% 12.1% 16.0% 18.4% 12.9%
Bryan Lawrence 4.9% 6.7% 9.4% 8.3% 11.1% 13.2% 14.4% 15.0% 10.3% 6.7%
Connor Lothrop 8.2% 13.2% 11.3% 10.3% 13.2% 14.0% 11.4% 9.7% 6.0% 2.7%
James Mercer 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 5.3% 4.6% 5.8% 10.2% 11.7% 24.9% 29.3%
Collin Ross 2.0% 1.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 8.7% 12.3% 19.4% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.