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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+1.35vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.04vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.28-0.54vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.19+0.60vs Predicted
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5-0.88-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Hillsdale College0.410.3%1st Place
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1.96Indiana University0.820.4%1st Place
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2.46Ohio State University0.280.2%1st Place
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4.6Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
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3.63-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 27.8% | 28.8% | 26.0% | 15.3% | 2.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 40.2% | 32.1% | 20.1% | 7.2% | 0.4% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 24.3% | 25.3% | 32.5% | 15.6% | 2.3% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 15.2% | 75.3% |
| Alex Day | 6.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 46.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.