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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+1.00vs Predicted
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2-0.88+1.62vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College0.41-0.68vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.28-1.54vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.19-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Indiana University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.62-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.32Hillsdale College0.410.3%1st Place
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2.46Ohio State University0.280.2%1st Place
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4.6Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 41.0% | 29.5% | 20.3% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Alex Day | 6.8% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 49.4% | 17.8% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.7% | 30.3% | 26.4% | 13.6% | 2.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 23.1% | 28.7% | 30.5% | 14.9% | 2.8% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 14.8% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.