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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+1.51vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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3-0.88+0.59vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College0.41-1.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.19-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Ohio State University0.280.2%1st Place
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1.98Indiana University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.59-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.33Hillsdale College0.410.3%1st Place
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4.59Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 23.3% | 27.2% | 28.8% | 16.7% | 4.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 40.0% | 30.7% | 21.3% | 7.3% | 0.7% |
| Alex Day | 7.6% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 49.1% | 17.3% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.6% | 29.3% | 28.1% | 12.6% | 2.4% |
| Azim Usmanov | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.